Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arenal vs Collerense Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arenal
15%
Draws
57%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collerense lately — more wins on the board than Arenal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arenal Clean Sheet 19%
Collerense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal Collerense
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Arenal
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Collerense
2:2
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Collerense
1:2
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Arenal
3:2
Mar 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Arenal
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 32 / 100
Collerense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Arenal's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Collerense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Collerense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS Collerense
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)