Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Arenal and Constancia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of Arenal on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Constancia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenal | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 44 |
| Wins | 4 | 27 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.54 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Arenal
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Constancia
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Arenal
1:0
Feb 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Constancia
1:2
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Arenal
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arenal 10 / 100
Constancia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arenal Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Arenal scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Constancia has conceded goals in 50% of their last 44 outings.
Arenal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arenal VS Constancia
0.33 Goals Scored 2.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arenal
(Home) 12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2 Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0 Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2 Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3 Arenal
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2 Alcudia
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2 Alcudia
27 Apr
Arenal
1 : 2 Santanyi
13 Apr
Arenal
0 : 1 Alaior
27 Mar
Arenal
0 : 3 Mallorca B
Page 1 of 3
Constancia
(Away) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 9
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
15 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 4 Constancia
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 51:23 | 79 |
| 2 | UD Poblense | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 71:44 | 78 |
| 3 | Constancia | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 62:25 | 78 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 63:30 | 76 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:44 | 75 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 53:25 | 69 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:43 | 63 |
| 8 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47:36 | 54 |
| 9 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46:58 | 46 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 48:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 43:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:56 | 42 |
| 16 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Alaior | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 35:61 | 38 |
| 18 | Penya Arrabal | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 45:78 | 27 |
| 19 | Norteno CF | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 24:56 | 27 |
| 20 | Arenal | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32:66 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
