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Arenal vs Manacor Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Arenal and Manacor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Arenal
15%
Draws
71%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Manacor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Arenal Clean Sheet 13%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal Manacor
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Arenal
3:1
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Manacor
1:3
May 14, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Manacor
2:1
Dec 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Arenal
0:0
Mar 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Arenal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 10 / 100
Manacor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenal scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Manacor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Arenal remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS Manacor
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
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Manacor

(Away)
03 Oct
Manacor
2 : 1
Andratx
27 Sept
Sineu
1 : 4
Manacor
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)