Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Arenal and Porreres finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Porreres come out ahead of Arenal on wins alone.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenal | Porreres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arenal Compare
Porreres Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porreres let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.
Arenal scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Porreres's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arenal
(Home)Porreres
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Constancia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Platges de Calvia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 5 | PE Sant Jordi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 8 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 9 | Alcudia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Porreres | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Andratx | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 16 | Arenal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:16 | 0 |
