Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025

CP Almeria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arenas Armilla play CP Almeria in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arenas Armilla averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. CP Almeria averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Arenas Armilla won 1, CP Almeria won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 23, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Arenas Armilla and 1.00 for CP Almeria. This points to a Arenas Armilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Arenas Armilla

20%

Draws

28%

CP Almeria

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Arenas Armilla picked up more points recently compared to CP Almeria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 23%

CP Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arenas Armilla	CP Almeria
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	9	2
Losses	10	21
Goals Scored	1.09	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.06	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Arenas Armilla vs CP Almeria

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CP Almeria vs Arenas Armilla

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CP Almeria vs Arenas Armilla

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Arenas Armilla vs CP Almeria

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Armilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 51 / 100

CP Almeria 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arenas Armilla CP Almeria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arenas Armilla or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arenas Armilla attacking → ← attacking CP Almeria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Armilla scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

CP Almeria let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arenas Armilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CP Almeria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 23

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malaga B	34	26	5	3	76:22	83
2	Jaen	34	22	7	5	60:35	73
3	Motril	34	18	7	9	57:35	61
4	Torre del Mar	34	18	7	9	48:30	61
5	Huetor Tajar	34	17	6	11	35:28	57
6	Huetor Vega	34	16	9	9	49:36	57
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	14	12	8	53:35	54
8	CD Torreperogil	34	13	11	10	42:37	50
9	Mancha	34	13	7	14	37:39	46
10	Marbelli	34	11	9	14	32:42	42
11	El Palo	34	10	11	13	36:49	41
12	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	10	10	14	43:44	40
13	Arenas Armilla	34	9	11	14	40:49	38
14	Martos	34	11	5	18	28:41	38
15	Atletico de Porcuna	34	9	9	16	45:55	36
16	Ejido	34	7	6	21	36:68	27
17	CP Almeria	34	7	2	25	35:75	23
18	Malaga City	34	5	6	23	31:63	21