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Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lopez A.
26' Event
Sierra A.
33' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Arenas Armilla
35%
Draws
20%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenas Armilla have won more games recently than Huetor Vega.
  • Arenas Armilla are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 68%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Armilla Huetor Vega
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
3:3
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Armilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sierra A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prieto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 68 / 100
Huetor Vega 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Armilla Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Armilla's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Huetor Vega has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Arenas Armilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Armilla VS Huetor Vega
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenas Armilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

Huetor Vega

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 CD Alhaurino 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
10 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
11 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
15 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)