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Arenas Getxo vs Racing Club Ferrol Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Fadura, Getxo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Arroyo R.
58'
Sub
Garcia A. In: Esquerdo V.
Out: Garcia A.
64'
Sub
Bujan E. In: Alcaina R.
Out: Bujan E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Arenas Getxo and Racing Club Ferrol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Arenas Getxo
20%
Draws
70%
Racing Club Ferrol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arenas Getxo come out ahead of Racing Club Ferrol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arenas Getxo a 10% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Getxo Racing Club Ferrol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:1
May 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Arenas Getxo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Getxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arratibel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Getxo 77 / 100
Racing Club Ferrol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Getxo Racing Club Ferrol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Getxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Racing Club Ferrol let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arenas Getxo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Getxo VS Racing Club Ferrol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenas Getxo

(Home)
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Ferrol

(Away)
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
2 Lugo 5 4 1 0 7:2 13
3 Ath Bilbao B 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
4 Cacereno 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
5 Mirandes 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Pontevedra 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 Deportivo Fabril 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Ponferradina 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
9 Leonesa 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Real Union 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
11 Zamora 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
12 Racing Club Ferrol 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
13 Real Aviles 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 CD Coria 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
15 Barakaldo 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 CD Extremadura 5 1 0 4 2:5 3
17 AD Merida 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 5 1 0 4 7:12 3
19 UD Ourense 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
20 Arenas Getxo 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)