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Arendal vs Eik-Tonsberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Norac stadion, Arendal
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arendal host Eik-Tonsberg in the Division 2 - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Arendal have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Eik-Tonsberg's 1.21 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Arendal slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Eik-Tonsberg. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arendal
15%
Draws
57%
Eik-Tonsberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eik-Tonsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arendal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arendal Clean Sheet 20%
Eik-Tonsberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Eik-Tonsberg
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.63 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Arendal
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Arendal
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Eik-Tonsberg
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Eik-Tonsberg
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Arendal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 32 / 100
Eik-Tonsberg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Eik-Tonsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eik-Tonsberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arendal scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Eik-Tonsberg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Eik-Tonsberg
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
04 Oct
Sandviken
1 : 0
Arendal
27 Sept
Arendal
2 : 3
Brattvag
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
Page 1 of 6

Eik-Tonsberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
27 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 2
Bjarg
19 Sept
Brattvag
3 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
12 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
2 : 0
Pors
05 Sept
Sandviken
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
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