Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arendal vs Lysekloster

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Norac stadion, Arendal
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Trengereid M.
52' Event
Nakken V.
62'
Sub
Dvergsdal T. In: Osterud A.
Out: Dvergsdal T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Arendal and Lysekloster finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arendal
15%
Draws
0%
Lysekloster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arendal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arendal a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Arendal Clean Sheet 20%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Lysekloster
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Lysekloster
2:1
May 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Arendal
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Lysekloster
3:2
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Arendal
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Lysekloster
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Trengereid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lysekloster Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakken V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 85 / 100
Lysekloster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Lysekloster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lysekloster let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lysekloster's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arendal scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Lysekloster
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
Page 1 of 6

Lysekloster

(Away)
20 Sept
Pors
2 : 0
Lysekloster
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Bjarg 20 12 2 6 42:26 38
4 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
5 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
6 Notodden 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 20 8 6 6 36:36 30
9 Arendal 20 7 5 8 28:34 26
10 Pors 20 6 5 9 22:27 23
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 20 3 5 12 21:42 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
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