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Arendal vs Sandnes Ulf

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the NM Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Arendal at 1.68 goals for, 1.64 against; Sandnes Ulf at 1.77 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Arendal have won 0 to Sandnes Ulf's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.13 - 1.38) back Sandnes Ulf to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Arendal
15%
Draws
31%
Sandnes Ulf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandnes Ulf come out ahead of Arendal on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sandnes Ulf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arendal Clean Sheet 17%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Sandnes Ulf
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sandnes Ulf
3:3
Mar 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Arendal
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 36 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Sandnes Ulf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnes Ulf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arendal scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Sandnes Ulf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Arendal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Sandnes Ulf
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
Page 1 of 5

Sandnes Ulf

(Away)
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
22 Aug
Sandnes Ulf
0 : 1
Bryne
16 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta -
Tromso -
Floya -
Rosenborg -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger -
Ranheim -
Stjordals Blink -
Fredrikstad -
Trygg/Lade -
Molde -
Brattvag -
Kristiansund -
Traeff -
Hodd -
Forde -
Aalesund -
Sotra -
Sogndal -
Sandviken -
Asane -
OS TF -
Brann -
Bjarg -
Bryne -
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart -
Start -
Jerv -
Egersund -
Arendal -
Sandnes Ulf -
Pors -
Stabaek -
Notodden -
Odds BK -
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum -
Raufoss -
Eidsvold TF -
Kongsvinger -
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas -
Ham-Kam -
Gamle Oslo -
Lyn -
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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