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Arendal vs Sotra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 2 - Group 1 Norac stadion, Arendal
Arendal Logo

Arendal

1 - 1
FT
Sotra Logo

Sotra

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Falck F.
21'
Sub
Osnes H. In: Nilsen A. E.
Out: Osnes H.
32' Event
Nilsen A. E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Arendal and Sotra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arendal
15%
Draws
64%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sotra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sotra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sotra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%
Sotra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Sotra
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Arendal
3:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Arendal
3:1
May 2, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsen A. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Falck F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 10 / 100
Sotra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sotra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arendal scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Sotra conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Arendal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Sotra
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
27 Sept
Arendal
2 : 3
Brattvag
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
Page 1 of 6

Sotra

(Away)
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2
Pors
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 21 16 3 2 44:18 51
2 Brattvag 21 13 3 5 44:26 42
3 Bjarg 21 13 2 6 44:26 41
4 Mjondalen 21 13 2 6 39:28 41
5 Sotra 21 12 3 6 45:22 39
6 Notodden 21 10 5 6 30:17 35
7 Kvik Halden 21 10 4 7 32:24 34
8 Traeff 21 8 6 7 36:40 30
9 Arendal 21 7 5 9 30:37 26
10 Pors 21 6 5 10 24:30 23
11 Sandviken 21 6 4 11 32:45 22
12 Lysekloster 21 3 5 13 23:45 14
13 Vidar 21 2 4 15 19:56 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 21 2 1 18 21:49 7
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