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Arendal vs Vag

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Opsahl A.
43' Event
Suggelia H.
76' Event
Johansen J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Arendal and Vag finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arendal
15%
Draws
0%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arendal a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Arendal Clean Sheet 17%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arendal Vag
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Arendal vs Vag
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Opsahl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suggelia H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arendal 84 / 100
Vag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arendal Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vag's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arendal scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Arendal VS Vag
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arendal

(Home)
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
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Vag

(Away)
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
01 Aug
Vag
2 : 3
Madla IL
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