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Arenteiro vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Ruiz E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Barco in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arenteiro
15%
Draws
64%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barco lately — more wins on the board than Arenteiro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 20%
Barco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Barco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Barco
0:1
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Arenteiro
1:1
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Barco
4:2
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Arenteiro
0:2
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Barco
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 32 / 100
Barco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Barco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arenteiro scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Barco has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS Barco
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarriana 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 CD Boiro 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Lalin 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 Racing Club Villalbes 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Silva SD 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Portonovo SD 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Pontevedra B 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
8 Gran Pena 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Barco 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Antela 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Alondras 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
12 Atletico Arteixo 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Somozas 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Estradense 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
15 Celtiga 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
16 Montaneros 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
17 Arenteiro 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
18 Viveiro 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)