Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sanchez J.
34'
Sub
Meixus P. In: Arcos A.
Out: Meixus P.
36'
Kibet A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Arenteiro
30%
Draws
64%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celta Vigo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celta Vigo B lately — more wins on the board than Arenteiro.
  • Model gives Celta Vigo B a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 12%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.14 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.14 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo B
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Arenteiro
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo B
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Arenteiro
0:0
May 18, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenteiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.11
Avg xA / game 0.07

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Somuah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 10 / 100
Celta Vigo B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo B conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arenteiro found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Arenteiro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS Celta Vigo B
0.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
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Celta Vigo B

(Away)
01 Aug
Vizela
0 : 1
Celta Vigo B
25 Jul
Lugo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
07 Jun
Celta Vigo B
3 : 2
CE Europa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)