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Arenteiro vs Celtiga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lamelas M.
59' Event
Lamelas M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Arenteiro and Celtiga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arenteiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Arenteiro
35%
Draws
30%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtiga come out ahead of Arenteiro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arenteiro a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Celtiga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celtiga
2:0
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Arenteiro
0:0
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celtiga
1:1
Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Celtiga
2:1
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Arenteiro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenteiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamelas M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Celtiga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 50 / 100
Celtiga 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenteiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Arenteiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Arenteiro's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS Celtiga
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
01 Nov
Arenteiro
2 : 0
Celtiga
25 Oct
Montaneros
0 : 2
Arenteiro
17 Oct
Arenteiro
1 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
11 Oct
Sarriana
3 : 3
Arenteiro
03 Oct
Arenteiro
2 : 3
Antela
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
01 Nov
Arenteiro
2 : 0
Celtiga
24 Oct
Celtiga
1 : 1
Somozas
18 Oct
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Celtiga
11 Oct
Celtiga
0 : 0
Alondras
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 9 6 2 1 14:7 20
2 Barco 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
3 Sarriana 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
4 Lalin 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Racing Club Villalbes 9 3 5 1 11:9 14
6 Estradense 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
7 Silva SD 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
8 Pontevedra B 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
9 Atletico Arteixo 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
10 Antela 9 3 4 2 8:8 13
11 Portonovo SD 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
12 Alondras 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
13 Arenteiro 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
14 Celtiga 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
15 Montaneros 9 3 0 6 12:19 9
16 Somozas 9 1 5 3 8:10 8
17 Gran Pena 9 2 1 6 10:15 7
18 Viveiro 9 1 2 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)