Sport Picks
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sanchez J.
34'
34'
Ivanov B.
36'
36'
Sub
Frimpong E. In: San Emeterio F.
Out: Frimpong E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Arenteiro and Ponferradina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponferradina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ponferradina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Ponferradina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 20%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arenteiro | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Arenteiro
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Arenteiro
1:2
Aug 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Arenteiro vs Ponferradina
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arenteiro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45
Ponferradina Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arenteiro 32 / 100
Ponferradina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arenteiro Ponferradina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Arenteiro scored in 50% of their last 28 games.
Ponferradina let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Arenteiro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arenteiro VS Ponferradina
0.4 Goals Scored 0.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
20% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arenteiro
(Home) 20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0 Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0 Lalin
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Barco
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4 Cacereno
19 Apr
Arenteiro
0 : 2 AD Merida
Page 1 of 3
Ponferradina
(Away) 19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
08 Aug
Marino De Luanco
0 : 3 Ponferradina
29 Jul
Real Oviedo
4 : 0 Ponferradina
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
