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Arenteiro vs Pontellas

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Arenteiro Logo

Arenteiro

2 - 1
FT
Pontellas Logo

Pontellas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Arenteiro and Pontellas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arenteiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arenteiro
30%
Draws
39%
Pontellas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontellas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pontellas haven't matched Arenteiro's recent run of results.
  • Arenteiro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Arenteiro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 16%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Pontellas
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Pontellas
2:1
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arenteiro
1:3
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Pontellas
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arenteiro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 41 / 100
Pontellas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Pontellas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontellas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arenteiro scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Arenteiro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 7

Pontellas

(Away)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)