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Arezzo vs Padova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arezzo host Padova in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Arezzo at 1.31 goals for, 1.52 against; Padova at 1.07 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Padova slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2021, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.63) point toward Padova. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arezzo
30%
Draws
41%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Padova come out ahead of Arezzo on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 14%
Padova Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Padova
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Padova vs Arezzo
2:0
Oct 21, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Padova
0:5
Apr 4, 2004 Lega Pro C1/A
Padova vs Arezzo
0:1
Nov 8, 2003 Lega Pro C1/A
Arezzo vs Padova
2:1
Apr 19, 2003 Lega Pro C1/A
Padova vs Arezzo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 35 / 100
Padova 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Padova has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Arezzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Padova
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
28 Oct
Carrarese
2 : 1
Arezzo
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

Padova

(Away)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
17 Oct
Padova
1 : 2
Entella
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)