Sport Picks

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Arezzo vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Super Cup (Serie C) Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Morra C.
43' Event
Morra C.
45'
Eklu S. M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Vicenza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Arezzo
22%
Draws
60%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vicenza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vicenza's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Vicenza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vicenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Vicenza
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super Cup (Serie C)
Arezzo vs Vicenza
2:5
Apr 13, 2007 Serie B
Arezzo vs Vicenza
2:1
Nov 25, 2006 Serie B
Vicenza vs Arezzo
2:0
Feb 11, 2006 Serie B
Arezzo vs Vicenza
0:0
Sep 30, 2005 Serie B
Vicenza vs Arezzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Chiara G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Morra C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stuckler D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 18 / 100
Vicenza 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LRV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Vicenza conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Arezzo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Vicenza
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3
Arezzo
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
02 May
Arezzo
2 : 5
Vicenza
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Vicenza

(Away)
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
02 May
Arezzo
2 : 5
Vicenza
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
Vicenza
0 : 0
Pergolettese
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