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Argentina vs Zambia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alvarez J.
Assist: Almada T.
43' Event
Messi L.
Assist: Mac Allister A.
50' Event
Otamendi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Argentina and Zambia finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Argentina
15%
Draws
21%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Argentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Argentina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Argentina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Argentina Clean Sheet 68%
Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina Zambia
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 22 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.54 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Argentina vs Zambia
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Zambia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina 95 / 100
Zambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentina's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Zambia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Argentina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Argentina VS Zambia
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina

(Home)
04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0
Burkina Faso
01 Oct
Argentina
4 : 0
Bolivia
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1
Switzerland
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Zambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
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