Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Zambia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Argentina play Zambia in the Friendly International. Argentina are favorites here. Recently, Argentina averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.46 conceded. Zambia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Argentina won 1, Zambia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Argentina and 0.32 for Zambia. This points to a Argentina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Argentina

15%

Draws

22%

Zambia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Argentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Argentina picked up more points recently compared to Zambia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.32 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Argentina Clean Sheet 33%

Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Argentina	Zambia
Matches Played	26	26
Wins	21	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	3	14
Goals Scored	2.31	1
Goals Conceded	0.46	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International

Argentina vs Zambia

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Messi L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Zambia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina 63 / 100

Zambia 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Argentina Zambia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina Win (1)

Secondary Pick Argentina & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Argentina attacking → ← attacking Zambia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentina scored in 96% of their last 26 games.

Zambia let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Argentina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zambia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 28

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13