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Argentina W vs Peru W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gramaglia P. In: Holzheier A.
Out: Gramaglia P.
46'
Sub
Pereyra M. In: Bonsegundo F.
Out: Pereyra M.
46'
Sub
Nunez K. In: Rodriguez Y.
Out: Nunez K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Argentina W
35%
Draws
27%
Peru W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Argentina W have won more games recently than Peru W.
  • Model gives Argentina W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Argentina W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Argentina W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Argentina W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina W Peru W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Argentina W vs Peru W
1:1
Jul 21, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Peru W
1:0
Jul 14, 2023 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Peru W
4:0
Jul 13, 2022 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Peru W
4:0
Jul 29, 2019 Pan American Games Women
Argentina W vs Peru W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Peru W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina W 36 / 100
Peru W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina W Peru W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Argentina W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Argentina W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Argentina W VS Peru W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
Page 1 of 6

Peru W

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)