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Stadium Background

Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Cohen E.
39' Event
Ursino D.
46'
Sub
Cohen E. In: Paz Sierra L.
Out: Cohen E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Argentino de Merlo and Dep. Merlo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentino de Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Argentino de Merlo
20%
Draws
50%
Dep. Merlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Merlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Argentino de Merlo are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentino de Merlo Dep. Merlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
1:0
Jun 14, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Mar 28, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ursino D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Dep. Merlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentino de Merlo 32 / 100
Dep. Merlo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentino de Merlo Dep. Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dep. Merlo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Argentino de Merlo scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Argentino de Merlo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Argentino de Merlo VS Dep. Merlo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentino de Merlo

(Home)
24 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
17 Oct
Deportivo Camioneros
3 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
11 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Merlo

(Away)
24 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
17 Oct
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1
Talleres Remedios Escalada
10 Oct
Laferrere
1 : 1
Dep. Merlo
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 41 24 9 8 68:31 81
2 Arsenal Sarandi 41 21 13 7 55:27 76
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 41 20 11 10 46:26 71
4 Sportivo Italiano 41 19 12 10 47:33 69
5 Villa Dalmine 41 18 14 9 40:27 68
6 Deportivo Camioneros 41 18 13 10 48:34 67
7 Real Pilar 41 18 11 12 44:40 65
8 Deportivo Armenio 41 17 11 13 42:39 62
9 Laferrere 41 15 13 13 50:52 58
10 Comunicaciones 41 14 15 12 39:35 57
11 San Martin Burzaco 41 12 15 14 41:46 51
12 Villa San Carlos 41 12 14 15 40:45 50
13 Flandria 41 13 9 19 39:49 48
14 Dep. Merlo 41 11 15 15 39:54 48
15 Argentino de Merlo 41 12 11 18 37:44 47
16 Argentino de Quilmes 41 10 17 14 33:40 47
17 Dock Sud 41 11 14 16 41:49 47
18 Defensores Unidos 41 10 15 16 34:40 45
19 CSD Liniers 41 10 15 16 34:43 45
20 Brown Adrogue 41 9 16 16 25:38 43
21 UAI Urquiza 41 7 21 13 25:36 42
22 Ituzaingo 41 1 14 26 28:67 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)