Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Argentino de Merlo vs San Martin Burzaco

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chavez B.
(Penalty)
45'
Lazarev R.
45'
Lopez F.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Burzaco in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Argentino de Merlo
28%
Draws
22%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Argentino de Merlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Argentino de Merlo lately — more wins on the board than San Martin Burzaco.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Argentino de Merlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentino de Merlo San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs San Martin Burzaco
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs San Martin Burzaco
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs San Martin Burzaco
3:1
Feb 2, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentino de Merlo 59 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentino de Merlo San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Argentino de Merlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Argentino de Merlo scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

San Martin Burzaco has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Argentino de Merlo VS San Martin Burzaco
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentino de Merlo

(Home)
18 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
2 : 2
Deportivo Armenio
14 Jul
Flandria
1 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
10 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 0
Argentino de Quilmes
05 Jul
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
28 Jun
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 2
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 7

San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
05 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
27 Jun
Real Pilar
0 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)