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Arguvan vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Arguvan Logo

Arguvan

0 - 2
FT
Aliaga Logo

Aliaga

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kanci O.
25' Event
Uysal M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Arguvan and Aliaga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arguvan
20%
Draws
50%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Arguvan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aliaga a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 13%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arguvan Aliaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Aliaga
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Aliaga vs Arguvan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arguvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanci O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uysal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arguvan 11 / 100
Aliaga 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arguvan Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Arguvan scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Arguvan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aliaga
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arguvan

(Home)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)