Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Arguvan play Aliaga in the 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024. Aliaga are favorites here. Recently, Arguvan averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Aliaga averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Arguvan won 0, Aliaga won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Arguvan and 1.68 for Aliaga. This points to a Aliaga double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arguvan picked up more points recently compared to Aliaga.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.68 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arguvan | Aliaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 22 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 2.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.41 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arguvan Compare
Aliaga Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arguvan scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Aliaga let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Arguvan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Aliaga lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kepez Bld. | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 67:18 | 70 |
| 2 | Aliaga | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 60:18 | 66 |
| 3 | Ayvalikgucu | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:25 | 52 |
| 4 | 52 Orduspor | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Inegol Kafkas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 37:30 | 47 |
| 6 | Edirnespor Genclik | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 45:28 | 44 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Kucukcekmece | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41:31 | 38 |
| 9 | Karabuk Idmanyurdu | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 27:44 | 35 |
| 10 | Hopaspor | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 11 | Erciyes 38 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 34:45 | 34 |
| 12 | Kirikkale FK | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Gumushanespor | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 14 | Arguvan | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21:57 | 13 |
| 15 | Tarsus | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20:83 | 10 |