Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arguvan vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Yildirim E.
8' Event
Tas R.
25' Event
Cifci E.

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Arguvan
20%
Draws
58%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Arguvan.
  • Erciyes 38 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 19%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arguvan Erciyes 38
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Erciyes 38
3:4
Dec 19, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Erciyes 38 vs Arguvan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yigit F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arguvan 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arguvan Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Erciyes 38's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Arguvan found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Arguvan has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erciyes 38
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arguvan

(Home)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)