Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
El Fazai B.
74'
74'
Aloui Z.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Ariana and PS Sakiet Eddaier finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PS Sakiet Eddaier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PS Sakiet Eddaier come out ahead of Ariana on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on PS Sakiet Eddaier taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ariana Clean Sheet 10%
PS Sakiet Eddaier Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ariana | PS Sakiet Eddaier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Ariana vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Ariana vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier vs Ariana
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ariana Compare
Top Goalscorer El Fazai B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
PS Sakiet Eddaier Compare
Top Goalscorer Aloui Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ariana 18 / 100
PS Sakiet Eddaier 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ariana PS Sakiet Eddaier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PS Sakiet Eddaier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Ariana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Ariana found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
PS Sakiet Eddaier has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Ariana VS PS Sakiet Eddaier
0.71 Goals Scored 2.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ariana
(Home) 16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
29 Mar
Ariana
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
21 Feb
Ariana
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
31 Jan
Ariana
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
(Away) 13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0 Jeunesse Sportive
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2 PS Sakiet Eddaier
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
