Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2010/2011

FCMU Baia Mare

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ariesul 1907 play FCMU Baia Mare in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ariesul 1907 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. FCMU Baia Mare averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Ariesul 1907 won 1, FCMU Baia Mare won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ariesul 1907 and 1.11 for FCMU Baia Mare. This points to a Ariesul 1907 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Ariesul 1907

22%

Draws

25%

FCMU Baia Mare

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ariesul 1907

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Ariesul 1907 picked up more points recently compared to FCMU Baia Mare.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Ariesul 1907 Clean Sheet 21%

FCMU Baia Mare Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ariesul 1907	FCMU Baia Mare
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	15	6
Draws	4	8
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.43	0.85
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 6

Ariesul 1907 vs FCMU Baia Mare

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 27, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 6

FCMU Baia Mare vs Ariesul 1907

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariesul 1907 52 / 100

FCMU Baia Mare 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ariesul 1907 FCMU Baia Mare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ariesul 1907 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ariesul 1907 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ariesul 1907 attacking → ← attacking FCMU Baia Mare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ariesul 1907 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

FCMU Baia Mare let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ariesul 1907 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FCMU Baia Mare lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 26

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FCMU Baia Mare	28	19	4	5	51:21	61
2	Ariesul 1907	28	16	9	3	44:15	57
3	Magura Cisnadie	28	14	6	8	37:25	48
4	Corona Brasov	28	12	10	6	33:28	46
5	Zalau (inactive)	28	12	7	9	43:37	43
6	Tarlungeni	28	12	5	11	31:28	41
7	Unirea Ungheni	28	11	7	10	37:38	40
8	Sanatatea Cluj	28	10	7	11	25:40	37
9	Avantul Reghin	28	8	10	10	24:26	34
10	FC Municipal Turda	28	9	7	12	32:36	34
11	Gloria Progresul Bistrita	28	9	5	14	42:48	32
12	Unirea Dej	28	8	7	13	36:39	31
13	Gaz Metan Medias 2	28	8	6	14	25:30	30
14	Zlatna	28	7	6	15	37:58	27
15	Odorheiu	28	4	6	18	20:48	18