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Ariesul Turda vs Olimpia Satu Mare Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Satu Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ariesul Turda
15%
Draws
85%
Olimpia Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariesul Turda haven't matched Olimpia Satu Mare's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olimpia Satu Mare a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Olimpia Satu Mare here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ariesul Turda Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Satu Mare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ariesul Turda Olimpia Satu Mare
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.89
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Ariesul Turda vs Olimpia Satu Mare
2:3
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Olimpia Satu Mare vs Ariesul Turda
3:0
May 18, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Olimpia Satu Mare vs Ariesul Turda
2:0
Nov 9, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Ariesul Turda vs Olimpia Satu Mare
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariesul Turda 18 / 100
Olimpia Satu Mare 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ariesul Turda Olimpia Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Satu Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Satu Mare has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Olimpia Satu Mare's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Ariesul Turda found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ariesul Turda VS Olimpia Satu Mare
0.29 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ariesul Turda

(Home)
28 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Unirea Tasnad
21 Mar
Bihorul Beius
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
14 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Sighetu Marmatiei
06 Mar
Unirea Dej
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
28 Feb
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Viitorul Cluj
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Olimpia Satu Mare

(Away)
15 May
Olimpia Satu Mare
2 : 3
Crisul Santandrei
02 May
Bihorul Beius
2 : 1
Olimpia Satu Mare
25 Apr
Olimpia Satu Mare
0 : 2
Unirea Dej
17 Apr
Viitorul Cluj
2 : 0
Olimpia Satu Mare
10 Apr
Olimpia Satu Mare
0 : 1
Baile Felix
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 22 15 2 5 46:27 47
2 Unirea Tasnad 22 14 4 4 54:23 46
3 Sanatatea Cluj 22 13 7 2 36:13 46
4 SCM Zalau 22 13 5 4 36:18 44
5 Crisul Santandrei 22 12 5 5 39:25 41
6 Sighetu Marmatiei 22 10 7 5 36:22 37
7 Baile Felix 22 8 7 7 32:26 31
8 Viitorul Cluj 22 5 6 11 22:26 21
9 Unirea Dej 22 5 3 14 25:35 18
10 Bihorul Beius 22 4 6 12 22:39 18
11 Olimpia Satu Mare 22 5 2 15 21:64 17
12 Ariesul Turda 22 0 2 20 11:62 2
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)