Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr

0 - 1

Mazandaran

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Salehi E.

Penalty Missed

36'

Khorasani M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazandaran in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazandaran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ario Eslamshahr

39%

Draws

31%

Mazandaran

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Mazandaran have won more games recently than Ario Eslamshahr.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 16%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%

Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Mazandaran Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ario Eslamshahr	Mazandaran
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	17
Draws	14	7
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	0.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Azadegan League

Mazandaran vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Dec 26, 2025 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Mazandaran

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorasani M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 41 / 100

Mazandaran 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ario Eslamshahr Mazandaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ario Eslamshahr remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Mazandaran let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Mazandaran

0.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25

38% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	34	20	9	5	48:17	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	34	19	11	4	41:14	68
3	Sanat Naft	34	16	12	6	37:21	60
4	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	16	12	6	44:22	60
5	Saipa	34	16	11	7	30:18	59
6	Havadar SC	34	11	17	6	32:23	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	34	10	17	7	26:19	47
8	Fard	34	10	16	8	24:15	46
9	Mes Kerman	34	10	15	9	23:18	45
10	Ario Eslamshahr	34	9	16	9	19:18	43
11	Besat Kermanshah	34	9	11	14	25:32	38
12	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	9	10	15	17:34	37
13	Niroye Zamini	34	8	12	14	28:31	36
14	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	34	8	11	15	23:36	35
15	Naft Gachsaran	34	7	14	13	25:41	35
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	34	5	15	14	18:29	30
17	Navad Urmia	34	4	12	18	16:48	24
18	Damash Gilan	34	2	13	19	16:56	19