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Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ario Eslamshahr
6%
Draws
4%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr have won more games recently than Naft Gachsaran.
  • Ario Eslamshahr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Naft Gachsaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Ario Eslamshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naft Gachsaran lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Naft Gachsaran
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619