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Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Khorshidpour Y.
34' Event
Khorshidpour Y.
48' Event
Joukar J.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Ario Eslamshahr and Naft Masjed-Soleyman finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Masjed-Soleyman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ario Eslamshahr
15%
Draws
42%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.85 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:3
Apr 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Feb 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Naft Masjed-Soleyman Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorshidpour Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joukar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 32 / 100
Naft Masjed-Soleyman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Naft Masjed-Soleyman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Masjed-Soleyman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ario Eslamshahr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Naft Masjed-Soleyman let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0.5 Goals Scored 1.2
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.8
25% Over 1.5 40%
0% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 7

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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