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Ariquemes W vs Ferroviaria W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ariquemes W play Ferroviaria W in the Brasileiro Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ariquemes W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Ferroviaria W averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Ariquemes W won 0, Ferroviaria W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2023 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Ariquemes W and 0.99 for Ferroviaria W. This points to a Ferroviaria W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ariquemes W
18%
Draws
51%
Ferroviaria W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Ariquemes W picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviaria W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Ariquemes W Clean Sheet 23%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ariquemes W Ferroviaria W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Ariquemes W vs Ferroviaria W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ariquemes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
3 Goals
Assists Leader Eudimilla
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ariquemes W 33 / 100
Ferroviaria W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ariquemes W Ferroviaria W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviaria W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ariquemes W attacking → ← attacking Ferroviaria W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ariquemes W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ferroviaria W let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Ariquemes W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 71
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W15121253:837
2Palmeiras W15112248:1435
3Ferroviaria W15111338:1634
4Santos W15102332:1032
5CR Flamengo W15101423:1431
6Internacional W1591525:1628
7Sao Paulo W1574427:1325
8Cruzeiro W1564536:2622
9Gremio W1561816:2219
10Avai Kindermann W1561825:3319
11Real Brasilia W1552816:2417
12Atletico-MG W1551917:2316
13Bahia W15411025:3313
14Athletico-PR W15311115:3310
15Ariquemes W15301210:549
16Ceara W1501147:741