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Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 game between Aris Filiaton and Tilikratis Lefkada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tilikratis Lefkada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aris Filiaton
20%
Draws
38%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tilikratis Lefkada haven't matched Aris Filiaton's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aris Filiaton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 20%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Filiaton Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Filiaton 42 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Filiaton Tilikratis Lefkada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aris Filiaton scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Tilikratis Lefkada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aris Filiaton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Filiaton VS Tilikratis Lefkada
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Elassona241110331:1943
2Aris Filiaton24127533:1943
3AO Trikala241110335:1843
4Asteras Stavrou24117636:2840
5Lamia24912336:1739
6Tilikratis Lefkada2498725:2235
7Anagennisi Arta2498726:2135
8Lefkimmi241031131:3133
9Anagennisi Schimatariou24951025:2432
10Anthoupoli24761121:2927
11Nea Selefkia24511825:2726
12Proodos Rogon23461330:4018
13Thesprotos2311216:651