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Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Aris Filiaton and Tilikratis Lefkada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tilikratis Lefkada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris Filiaton
30%
Draws
37%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tilikratis Lefkada haven't matched Aris Filiaton's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aris Filiaton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 20%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Filiaton Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Aris Filiaton
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Aris Filiaton vs Tilikratis Lefkada
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Filiaton 42 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Filiaton Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aris Filiaton scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aris Filiaton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tilikratis Lefkada let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Filiaton VS Tilikratis Lefkada
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Filiaton

(Home)
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Aris Filiaton
0 : 1
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Tilikratis Lefkada
1 : 1
AO Trikala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)