Sport Picks
Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
Cyprus
Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
AI Match Summary
Aris Limassol host AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AEK Larnaca have shipped 1.09 goals a game lately, while Aris Limassol have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, Aris Limassol have won 2 to AEK Larnaca's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.94, favoring AEK Larnaca. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to AEK Larnaca lately — more wins on the board than Aris Limassol.
- Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Aris Limassol found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
AEK Larnaca let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.
Aris Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aris Limassol
(Home)AEK Larnaca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AEL Limassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29th May | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | APOEL | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Ol. Nicosia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
