Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol host Apollon Limassol in the Cyprus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Apollon Limassol have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Aris Limassol have conceded 1.63 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Aris Limassol have won 4 to Apollon Limassol's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Apollon Limassol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aris Limassol
6%
Draws
90%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aris Limassol haven't matched Apollon Limassol's recent run of results.
  • Apollon Limassol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aris Limassol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 16%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
3:1
May 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 10 / 100
Apollon Limassol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Aris Limassol found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Apollon Limassol let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Aris Limassol stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Apollon Limassol
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
26 Jul
Korona Kielce
1 : 0
Aris Limassol
18 Jul
Legia
0 : 2
Aris Limassol
22 May
Aris Limassol
3 : 4
AEK Larnaca
16 May
Apollon Limassol
3 : 2
Aris Limassol
10 May
Pafos
2 : 0
Aris Limassol
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3 : 0
Dila Gori
23 Jul
Dila Gori
0 : 4
Apollon Limassol
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
11 Jul
G.A. Eagles
0 : 3
Apollon Limassol
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca00000:00
2AEL Limassol00000:00
3Anorthosis00000:00
4APOEL00000:00
5Apollon Limassol00000:00
6Aris Limassol00000:00
7Omonia00000:00
8Nea Salamis00000:00
9Ol. Nicosia00000:00
10Pafos00000:00
11Omonia Aradippou00000:00
12Karmiotissa00000:00
13Krasava00000:00
14Omonia 29th May00000:00
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)