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Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Matysik M.
30'
Sub
Brown M. In: Rodrigues G.
Out: Brown M.
40' Event
Rodrigues G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris Limassol
30%
Draws
37%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Limassol haven't matched Apollon Limassol's recent run of results.
  • Aris Limassol are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 14%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
2:2
May 16, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Matysik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreou E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 41 / 100
Apollon Limassol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aris Limassol found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Apollon Limassol conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Aris Limassol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Apollon Limassol
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
10 Oct
Krasava
1 : 3
Apollon Limassol
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 5 3 2 0 11:2 11
2 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Apollon Limassol 5 2 3 0 10:6 9
4 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
5 APOEL 5 2 1 2 12:8 7
6 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
7 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
9 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
12 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
13 Karmiotissa 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
14 Krasava 5 0 0 5 3:13 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)