Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol host Karmiotissa in the Cyprus League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Karmiotissa have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Aris Limassol have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Aris Limassol have won 2 to Karmiotissa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2024, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.58, favoring Karmiotissa. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aris Limassol
35%
Draws
18%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Karmiotissa have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Aris Limassol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 14%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Karmiotissa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2024 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Aris Limassol
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Aris Limassol
4:1
Jan 5, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Aris Limassol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 84 / 100
Karmiotissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Limassol scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Karmiotissa has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aris Limassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Karmiotissa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
13 Aug
FC Liefering
0 : 4
Aris Limassol
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Karmiotissa

(Away)
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pafos 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 AEK Larnaca 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 AEL Limassol 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 Omonia 29th May 3 1 2 0 8:5 5
5 Omonia 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 Apollon Limassol 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 Omonia Aradippou 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Aris Limassol 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
9 Anorthosis 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
10 Ol. Nicosia 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
11 APOEL 3 1 0 2 8:5 3
12 Karmiotissa 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
13 Nea Salamis 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
14 Krasava 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)