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Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
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Match Events

38'
Sub
Tabaku X. In: Savvidis I.
Out: Tabaku X.
46'
Sub
El Allachi C. In: Werton
Out: El Allachi C.
46'
Sub
Maras L. In: Correia A.
Out: Maras L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aris Limassol
15%
Draws
27%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Karmiotissa have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Aris Limassol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 20%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Karmiotissa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Aris Limassol
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Aris Limassol
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 85 / 100
Karmiotissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Limassol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aris Limassol scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Karmiotissa has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Karmiotissa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
01 Nov
Aris Limassol
2 : 1
Anorthosis
25 Oct
AEL Limassol
1 : 3
Aris Limassol
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
14 Oct
Aris Limassol
4 : 0
Achnas
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
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Karmiotissa

(Away)
03 Nov
Karmiotissa
2 : 0
Ermis
30 Oct
Karmiotissa
1 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
25 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 5
Apollon Limassol
17 Oct
Krasava
2 : 1
Karmiotissa
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Apollon Limassol 8 4 4 0 21:10 16
3 Omonia 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
4 Aris Limassol 8 4 3 1 12:10 15
5 AEL Limassol 8 5 0 3 11:13 15
6 APOEL 8 4 2 2 18:10 14
7 Pafos 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
8 Omonia 29th May 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
9 Karmiotissa 8 1 3 4 5:16 6
10 Anorthosis 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
12 Ol. Nicosia 8 0 6 2 11:13 6
13 Nea Salamis 8 1 2 5 11:16 5
14 Krasava 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)