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Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol host Nea Salamis in the Cyprus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nea Salamis have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Aris Limassol have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Aris Limassol have won 4 to Nea Salamis's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Nea Salamis. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aris Limassol
20%
Draws
33%
Nea Salamis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nea Salamis come out ahead of Aris Limassol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aris Limassol's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aris Limassol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 15%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Limassol Nea Salamis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.66 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Aris Limassol
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis
2:1
Feb 6, 2024 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Aris Limassol
0:3
Nov 4, 2023 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis
2:1
Feb 18, 2023 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Limassol 66 / 100
Nea Salamis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Limassol Nea Salamis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Aris Limassol found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Nea Salamis has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Aris Limassol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris Limassol VS Nea Salamis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Limassol

(Home)
25 Oct
AEL Limassol
1 : 3
Aris Limassol
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
14 Oct
Aris Limassol
4 : 0
Achnas
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
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Nea Salamis

(Away)
26 Oct
Nea Salamis
0 : 0
Pafos
21 Oct
Nea Salamis
4 : 0
Apea Akrotiriou
17 Oct
Apollon Limassol
4 : 2
Nea Salamis
10 Oct
APOEL
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
2 Apollon Limassol 7 4 3 0 19:8 15
3 AEL Limassol 7 5 0 2 11:11 15
4 Omonia 7 3 3 1 13:6 12
5 Pafos 7 3 3 1 7:3 12
6 Aris Limassol 7 3 3 1 10:9 12
7 APOEL 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
8 Omonia 29th May 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
9 Anorthosis 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 7 0 6 1 11:12 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
12 Nea Salamis 7 1 2 4 11:15 5
13 Krasava 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
14 Karmiotissa 7 0 3 4 4:16 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)