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Aris Petroupolis vs Afantou Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Aris Petroupolis Logo

Aris Petroupolis

4 - 2
FT
Afantou Logo

Afantou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Aris Petroupolis and Afantou finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aris Petroupolis
20%
Draws
29%
Afantou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aris Petroupolis a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aris Petroupolis have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
Afantou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Afantou
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Afantou
4:2
Jan 24, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Afantou vs Aris Petroupolis
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Afantou
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 67 / 100
Afantou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Afantou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Aris Petroupolis's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aris Petroupolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Afantou's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS Afantou
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
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Afantou

(Away)
27 Sept
Afantou
1 : 0
Ionikos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
Asteras Kaisarianis
05 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
4 : 2
Afantou
02 Apr
Afantou
2 : 4
Nea Artaki
28 Mar
AO Karystou
3 : 1
Afantou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 27 19 6 2 44:14 63
2 Nea Artaki 27 16 8 3 32:12 56
3 AO Karystou 27 12 9 6 29:17 45
4 Diagoras FC 27 11 9 7 34:23 42
5 Asteras Kaisarianis 27 10 6 11 37:31 36
6 Afantou 27 9 6 12 32:38 33
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