Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris Petroupolis vs AO Karystou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Aris Petroupolis and AO Karystou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aris Petroupolis
33%
Draws
40%
AO Karystou
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AO Karystou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AO Karystou a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Aris Petroupolis here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 23%
AO Karystou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis AO Karystou
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs AO Karystou
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs AO Karystou
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
AO Karystou vs Aris Petroupolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 29 / 100
AO Karystou 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis AO Karystou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Petroupolis's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aris Petroupolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AO Karystou conceded in 44% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS AO Karystou
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
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AO Karystou

(Away)
08 Apr
Diagoras FC
2 : 2
AO Karystou
05 Apr
Nea Artaki
0 : 1
AO Karystou
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0
Asteras Kaisarianis
28 Mar
AO Karystou
3 : 1
Afantou
22 Mar
Aris Petroupolis
2 : 0
AO Karystou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aris Petroupolis22156136:1151
2Nea Artaki22138126:847
3Diagoras FC2298528:1535
4AO Karystou2298522:1235
5Afantou2295825:2432
6Asteras Kaisarianis2295832:2632
7Nea Ionia2294923:2331
8Doxa Vyronas2287732:2131
9Apollon Kalythion2294932:3131
10Kentavros Vrilission22831127:3027
11Amarynthiakos22421620:3614
12Rodos2200220:660
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (Losers stage)