Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Petroupolis play Diagoras FC in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aris Petroupolis averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. Diagoras FC averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Aris Petroupolis won 1, Diagoras FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Aris Petroupolis and 1.13 for Diagoras FC. This points to a Aris Petroupolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aris Petroupolis
31%
Draws
28%
Diagoras FC
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis picked up more points recently compared to Diagoras FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 21%
Diagoras FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Diagoras FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Diagoras FC vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras FC
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Diagoras FC vs Aris Petroupolis
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 41 / 100
Diagoras FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Diagoras FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aris Petroupolis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aris Petroupolis attacking → ← attacking Diagoras FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Petroupolis scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Diagoras FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Aris Petroupolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Diagoras FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 47
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aris Petroupolis22156136:1151
2Nea Artaki22138126:847
3Diagoras FC2298528:1535
4AO Karystou2298522:1235
5Afantou2295825:2432
6Asteras Kaisarianis2295832:2632
7Nea Ionia2294923:2331
8Doxa Vyronas2287732:2131
9Apollon Kalythion2294932:3131
10Kentavros Vrilission22831127:3027
11Amarynthiakos22421620:3614
12Rodos2200220:660