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Aris Pigon vs Chaniotis Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025
Sun, Mar 16, 2025
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Pigon host Chaniotis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Aris Pigon at 0.7 goals for, 2.1 against; Chaniotis at 0.52 for, 2.1 against. Past meetings favor Aris Pigon slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.44, favoring Aris Pigon. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aris Pigon
15%
Draws
0%
Chaniotis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Pigon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aris Pigon have won more games recently than Chaniotis.
  • Aris Pigon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Aris Pigon Clean Sheet 16%
Chaniotis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Pigon Chaniotis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.7 0.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Pigon vs Chaniotis
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Chaniotis vs Aris Pigon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Pigon 84 / 100
Chaniotis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Pigon Chaniotis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Pigon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaniotis lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Chaniotis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Aris Pigon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris Pigon VS Chaniotis
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Pigon

(Home)
27 Apr
Poseidonas Michanionas
4 : 0
Aris Pigon
16 Apr
Aris Pigon
3 : 1
Nea Amisou
12 Apr
Aris Pigon
1 : 0
Aris Avatou
06 Apr
Iraklis Ammoudias
2 : 0
Aris Pigon
30 Mar
Aris Pigon
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

Chaniotis

(Away)
27 Apr
Chaniotis
0 : 3
Iraklis Ammoudias
16 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 0
Chaniotis
12 Apr
Chaniotis
0 : 3
Chrisoupolis
06 Apr
Panthrakikos
3 : 0
Chaniotis
30 Mar
Kilkisiakos
3 : 0
Chaniotis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chrisoupolis 34 28 4 2 79:15 88
2 Panthrakikos 34 28 5 1 78:17 86
3 Apollon Kalamaria 34 24 2 8 60:19 74
4 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 20 6 8 77:38 66
5 PAOK Kristonis 34 19 5 10 54:32 62
6 Krya Vrysi 34 15 9 10 49:36 54
7 Iraklis Ammoudias 34 14 9 11 44:32 51
8 Evosmou 34 13 10 11 49:42 49
9 Kilkisiakos 34 11 14 9 42:42 47
10 Thermaikos FC 34 14 7 13 41:34 46
11 Orestis Orestiadas 34 12 8 14 30:39 44
12 Apollon Paralimniou 34 11 9 14 30:37 42
13 Alexandroupoli FC 34 11 6 17 40:39 39
14 Aris Avatou 34 9 6 19 40:49 33
15 Aris Pigon 34 8 5 21 24:68 29
16 Nea Amisou 34 5 4 25 29:76 19
17 Chaniotis 33 5 6 22 18:65 12
18 Moudania 33 0 1 32 7:111 -8
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