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Aris Skalas vs Ermionidas-Ermis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Skalas play Ermionidas-Ermis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2021/2022. Aris Skalas are favorites here. Recently, Aris Skalas averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Ermionidas-Ermis averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Aris Skalas won 1, Ermionidas-Ermis won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 9, 2022 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Aris Skalas and 1.00 for Ermionidas-Ermis. This points to a Aris Skalas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aris Skalas
25%
Draws
15%
Ermionidas-Ermis
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aris Skalas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Aris Skalas picked up more points recently compared to Ermionidas-Ermis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Aris Skalas Clean Sheet 23%
Ermionidas-Ermis Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Skalas Ermionidas-Ermis
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 3 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.59 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ermionidas-Ermis vs Aris Skalas
5:1
Oct 24, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Skalas vs Ermionidas-Ermis
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Greek Cup
Aris Skalas vs Ermionidas-Ermis
1:0
Feb 14, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
Ermionidas-Ermis vs Aris Skalas
0:0
Nov 1, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
Aris Skalas vs Ermionidas-Ermis
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Skalas 59 / 100
Ermionidas-Ermis 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Skalas Ermionidas-Ermis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Skalas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aris Skalas & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aris Skalas attacking → ← attacking Ermionidas-Ermis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Skalas scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Ermionidas-Ermis let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Aris Skalas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ermionidas-Ermis lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 26
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ilioupoli20153241:1148
2Fostiras20123529:1639
3Santorini20106430:936
4Foinikas N. Epidavrou2092924:2329
5Mykonos2084827:2828
6Agios Ierotheos2083921:2627
7Ermionidas-Ermis2083919:2527
8Charavgiakos2074919:2725
9Panarkadikos20721127:2723
10Ermis Meligous20551016:2920
11Aris Skalas20151410:428