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Aris Skalas vs Ilioupoli

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Skalas play Ilioupoli in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aris Skalas averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Ilioupoli averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Aris Skalas won 0, Ilioupoli won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Aris Skalas and 0.93 for Ilioupoli. This points to a Ilioupoli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aris Skalas
24%
Draws
50%
Ilioupoli
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ilioupoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Aris Skalas picked up more points recently compared to Ilioupoli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Aris Skalas Clean Sheet 24%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Skalas Ilioupoli
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.59 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Skalas vs Ilioupoli
0:1
Dec 12, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ilioupoli vs Aris Skalas
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Skalas 28 / 100
Ilioupoli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Skalas Ilioupoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ilioupoli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aris Skalas attacking → ← attacking Ilioupoli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Skalas scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Ilioupoli let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aris Skalas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ilioupoli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ilioupoli20153241:1148
2Fostiras20123529:1639
3Santorini20106430:936
4Foinikas N. Epidavrou2092924:2329
5Mykonos2084827:2828
6Agios Ierotheos2083921:2627
7Ermionidas-Ermis2083919:2527
8Charavgiakos2074919:2725
9Panarkadikos20721127:2723
10Ermis Meligous20551016:2920
11Aris Skalas20151410:428