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Aris vs Atromitos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
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Match Events

3' Event
Fabiano
Assist: Bruma
9' Event
Serginho
Assist: Zuber S.
23' Event
Kouame C.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Aris and Atromitos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aris
15%
Draws
37%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Aris carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aris a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aris Clean Sheet 18%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Atromitos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Aris
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Aris
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 85 / 100
Atromitos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atromitos conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Atromitos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
07 Nov
Aris
3 : 0
Panetolikos
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
Page 1 of 7

Atromitos

(Away)
08 Nov
OFI Crete
0 : 0
Atromitos
02 Nov
Atromitos
3 : 0
Volos
29 Oct
Volos
1 : 3
Atromitos
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 10 9 0 1 22:5 27
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 AEK 9 6 2 1 23:6 20
4 PAOK 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
5 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
6 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 10 3 3 4 15:19 12
9 Iraklis FC 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 10 1 4 5 9:18 7
12 Atromitos 9 1 3 5 9:12 6
13 Levadiakos 10 1 3 6 4:13 6
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)