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Aris vs Atromitos

Greece Greece

Super League Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris host Atromitos in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Aris have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Atromitos's 1.45 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Aris slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Aris. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris
35%
Draws
32%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Atromitos's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Aris have produced (1.3).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 13%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Atromitos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Aris
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Aris
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Aris vs Atromitos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 35 / 100
Atromitos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atromitos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atromitos conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Atromitos
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
Page 1 of 6

Atromitos

(Away)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)