Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs Levadiakos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Frydek M.
41'
Pedrozo F.
44'
Kosti I.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aris
20%
Draws
10%
Levadiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Levadiakos have won more games recently than Aris.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Aris taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 20%
Levadiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Levadiakos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Aris vs Levadiakos
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Levadiakos vs Aris
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Aris vs Levadiakos
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Levadiakos vs Aris
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Super League
Levadiakos vs Aris
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadewere T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Levadiakos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 76 / 100
Levadiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Levadiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aris's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Levadiakos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Aris went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Levadiakos
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1
OFI Crete
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Levadiakos

(Away)
13 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 0
Levadiakos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
31 Aug
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
23 Aug
PAOK
4 : 0
Levadiakos
18 Aug
Levadiakos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Aris 32 11 13 8 34:32 31
6 Levadiakos 32 15 7 10 63:47 31
7 OFI Crete 32 12 3 17 43:55 23
8 Volos 32 9 5 18 33:55 17
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)