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Aris vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris host Olympiacos Piraeus in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Olympiacos Piraeus have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Aris have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.63) point toward Olympiacos Piraeus. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aris
15%
Draws
50%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Olympiacos Piraeus's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aris Clean Sheet 14%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 19
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Aris
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Aris
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Aris vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
Apr 24, 2024 Super League
Aris vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 23 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aris scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Aris stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Olympiacos Piraeus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
07 Nov
Aris
3 : 0
Panetolikos
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
04 Nov
Rennes
0 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
31 Oct
Kifisia
2 : 3
Olympiacos Piraeus
28 Oct
Marko
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 9 8 0 1 20:4 24
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
3 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
4 PAOK 9 6 0 3 18:12 18
5 AEK 8 5 2 1 21:5 17
6 OFI Crete 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
9 Iraklis FC 9 2 4 3 10:12 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Levadiakos 9 1 3 5 3:11 6
12 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
13 Atromitos 8 1 2 5 9:12 5
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)