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Aris vs Panetolikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris host Panetolikos in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Panetolikos have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Aris have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Aris slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Aris. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aris
15%
Draws
20%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aris come out ahead of Panetolikos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aris Clean Sheet 16%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Panetolikos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 84 / 100
Panetolikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Aris scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aris stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Panetolikos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
11 Oct
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
18 Oct
Panetolikos
0 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
11 Oct
Kifisia
2 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 7 5 1 1 7:2 16
3 PAOK 7 5 0 2 15:9 15
4 AEK 6 4 2 0 16:3 14
5 Aris 7 4 1 2 10:13 13
6 Kalamata 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
7 OFI Crete 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
8 Iraklis FC 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
9 Panetolikos 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
10 Kifisia 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
12 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
13 Levadiakos 7 0 2 5 0:11 2
14 Volos 7 0 3 4 6:12 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)