Sport Picks

USA

USL 2016

Arizona United

2 - 3

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Jones D.

29'

Cortez C.

36'

Tan Long

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL 2016 game between Arizona United and Tacoma Defiance finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Arizona United

39%

Draws

30%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Tacoma Defiance carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Arizona United Clean Sheet 20%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arizona United	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	7	0
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2016 USL Championship

Arizona United vs Tacoma Defiance

2:3

Mar 31, 2016 USL Championship

Tacoma Defiance vs Arizona United

0:2

Jul 13, 2015 USL Championship

Tacoma Defiance vs Arizona United

4:0

Jun 21, 2015 USL Championship

Arizona United vs Tacoma Defiance

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arizona United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortez C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tan Long

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Schweitzer J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arizona United 32 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arizona United Tacoma Defiance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arizona United's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tacoma Defiance has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Arizona United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tacoma Defiance

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.75

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arizona United

(Home)

25 Sept

Portland Timbers 2

3 : 2

Arizona United

18 Sept

Arizona United

3 : 2

Real Monarchs

14 Sept

Arizona United

1 : 2

Portland Timbers 2

04 Sept

San Antonio FC

1 : 1

Arizona United

01 Sept

Arizona United

1 : 2

Ventura County

Page 1 of 6

Tacoma Defiance

(Away)

20 Jul

Real Monarchs

2 : 4

Tacoma Defiance

13 Jul

San Jose Earthquakes II

0 : 1

Tacoma Defiance

06 Jul

Tacoma Defiance

0 : 2

Portland Timbers 2

29 Jun

Minnesota United 2

3 : 2

Tacoma Defiance

22 Jun

Tacoma Defiance

1 : 0

Real Monarchs

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	30	14	10	6	43:27	52
2	Rio Grande Valley FC Toros	30	14	9	7	47:24	51
3	Colorado Springs	30	14	7	9	37:27	49
4	Sporting Kansas City II	30	14	6	10	45:36	48
5	Ventura County	30	12	11	7	52:42	47
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	30	12	9	9	44:44	45
7	Oklahoma City Energy FC	30	10	13	7	32:30	43
8	Orange County SC	30	12	4	14	39:41	40
9	Portland Timbers 2	30	12	4	14	38:42	40
10	San Antonio FC	30	10	8	12	36:36	38
11	Real Monarchs	30	10	6	14	31:41	36
12	Tacoma Defiance	30	9	8	13	35:50	35
13	Arizona United	30	9	7	14	40:46	34
14	St. Louis FC	30	8	10	12	42:44	34
15	FC Tulsa	30	5	4	21	25:64	19

Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	30	21	6	3	61:21	69
2	Louisville City	30	17	9	4	52:27	60
3	FC Cincinnati	30	16	8	6	41:27	56
4	Rochester New York	30	13	12	5	38:25	51
5	Charlotte Independence	30	14	8	8	48:29	50
6	Charleston	30	13	9	8	38:33	48
7	Richmond Kickers	30	12	9	9	33:26	45
8	Orlando City B	30	9	8	13	35:49	35
9	Wilmington Hammerheads	30	8	10	12	37:47	34
10	Penn Football Club	30	8	7	15	37:54	31
11	Bethlehem Steel FC	30	6	10	14	32:43	28
12	Toronto FC II	30	7	5	18	36:58	26
13	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	6	7	17	31:50	25
14	FC Montreal	30	7	2	21	35:57	23

Promotion - USL 2016 (Play Offs)