Sport Picks
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Arka Gdynia host Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Arka Gdynia have averaged 0.75 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Jagiellonia's 2 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Jagiellonia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.00, favoring Jagiellonia. Jagiellonia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jagiellonia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Arka Gdynia.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jagiellonia.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arka Gdynia Compare
Jagiellonia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arka Gdynia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Jagiellonia let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Arka Gdynia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Jagiellonia lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |