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Arka Gdynia vs Termalica Bruk-Bet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arka Gdynia host Termalica Bruk-Bet in the Division 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Arka Gdynia have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Termalica Bruk-Bet's 2.11 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Termalica Bruk-Bet slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Termalica Bruk-Bet. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arka Gdynia
20%
Draws
61%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Termalica Bruk-Bet have won more games recently than Arka Gdynia.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Termalica Bruk-Bet taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Termalica Bruk-Bet have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 20%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arka Gdynia Termalica Bruk-Bet
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
2:3
Nov 21, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Arka Gdynia
2:0
May 4, 2025 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Arka Gdynia
2:1
Dec 11, 2023 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Arka Gdynia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arka Gdynia 20 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arka Gdynia Termalica Bruk-Bet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Termalica Bruk-Bet conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Arka Gdynia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Arka Gdynia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arka Gdynia VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arka Gdynia

(Home)
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2
IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Away)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
3 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
5 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
6 Lechia Gdansk 10 5 1 4 19:16 16
7 LKS Lodz 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Legnica 10 4 2 4 14:10 14
9 S. Rzeszow 10 4 2 4 11:17 14
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Pogon Siedlce 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Polonia Bytom 10 2 6 2 15:17 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
15 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
16 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 10 3 0 7 11:14 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)